PLACE YOUR BETS!!! Well non much to state other than ouch after reviewing our results from final calendar week where nosotros absolutely took 1 on the chin. Over the final 2 seasons, that was indeed our worst placement for predictions which is non sitting good alongside us. Late game scores in addition to sideways performances from top tear clubs left us on the negative equally nosotros watched inward dismay. Moving forwards to calendar week 15, nosotros run across tighter spreads from Vegas equally they seem to recognize that zip is a for certain thing inward the NFL inward the final quarter of the season. Still belongings a positive tape for the season, nosotros fully intend to regroup this calendar week to supersede our losses from a calendar week ago. Over the course of teaching of the flavor nosotros at ADF receive got given high percent winners consistently in addition to human face to render that 1 time once to a greater extent than this week. We volition learn dorsum on track, adept luck…
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Week xiv Record: 4-12 (.250) | 2018 Season Record: 105-102 (.507)
ADF All-Time Record: 237-238 (.499)
NFL WEEK xv – Predictions (Projected odds makers @ December.13.2018 – 12:00PM EST)
Thursday Dec.13.2018
LA Chargers @ Kansas City (Favorite)
Westgate -3.5
Caesar’s -3.5
William Hill -3.5
Wynn -3.5
Unibet -3.5
SportSelect -3.5
The opening competition for calendar week xv sees an extremely of import showdown betwixt AFC West divisional rivals. The Chargers go to Arrowhead to human face upwards off against the Chiefs inward what could dictate the consequence of the partitioning champion at seasons end. Both clubs receive got been rattling strong this season, but nosotros experience similar the Chiefs mightiness receive got hitting a slight wall. Without Kareem Hunt on the club, the run game has taken a huge measuring inward the incorrect management leaving Patrick Mahomes to bear the load. The Chargers on the other mitt overstep away along to whorl fifty-fifty without their star running dorsum Melvin Gordon. In damage of squad defense, the Chiefs haven’t been able to muster anything of authority giving upwards yards in addition to points inward bunches. The Chargers defense forcefulness is starting fourth dimension to alternative upwards steam but notwithstanding is prone to giving upwards large plays. This game has the makings of a shootout alongside the Chargers wanting to describe fifty-fifty inward the standings. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 plain finish should hold upwards the consequence from either side on the final installment of Th Night Football for 2018.
KC doesn’t embrace the spread @ -3.5 LAC 29 KC 28 (W)
Saturday Dec.15.2018
Houston (Favorite) @ NY Jets
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -6.5
William Hill -6
Wynn -6.5
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
NFL on Sat is dorsum for the side yesteryear side 2 weeks equally the Texans go to New York to human face upwards the Jets. New York showed ticker final calendar week non letting downward in addition to defeating the Buffalo Bills inward comeback fashion. The Houston Texans left a lot on the plain poesy a Colts guild losing their maiden off competition inward ix games. The Jets volition overstep away along to play out the string patch preparing for side yesteryear side season, equally the Texans human face to learn dorsum on rails to lay a strangle concur on the AFC South. The Jets receive got their moments from week-to-week but volition receive got their hands extremely total inward this contest. There is no enquiry that Deshaun Watson needs to play far improve than a calendar week ago, but having a melody upwards game similar this is what the physician ordered. The Jets volition essay in addition to create this a game but volition ultimately autumn short.
HOU covers the spread @ -6 HOU 29 NYJ 22 (W)
Cleveland @ Denver (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -3
SportSelect -3.5
The 2nd one-half of the doubleheader on Sat sees the charging Browns accept go to Mile High to human face upwards off poesy the Broncos. Denver squandered a prime number chance to gain traction inward the AFC Wildcard race dropping a rattling winnable competition to the 49ers. It was clear that the absence of Chris Harris in addition to Emmanuel Sanders affected play on both sides of the ball. The Browns on the other mitt receive got picked upwards their degree of play most lately dropping the Panthers final calendar week alongside distinction. The slow prediction would hold upwards to remain the course of teaching alongside the hotter club, but our fright is that Baker hasn’t played inward front end of the Denver hometown faithful, which commonly is a challenge inward itself. This competition should hold upwards rattling unopen alongside both teams trying to constitute their the world laid on correct from the maiden off whistle. Even alongside Denver on life back upwards for the postseason, they are a rattling hard squad to crunch at home.
DEN covers the spread @ -3 CLE 17 DEN xvi (L)
Sunday Dec.16.2018
Green Bay @ Chicago (Favorite)
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -5.5
William Hill -5.5
Wynn -5.5
Unibet -6
SportSelect -5.5
The Chicago Bears lay the NFL on notice final calendar week proving that defense forcefulness is genuinely an elite forcefulness specially at home. Limiting the best crime inward the NFL (the Rams) to a mere 6 points speaks volumes to what type of grouping they are. Facing off against the Packers who found their stride final calendar week poesy the Falcons gave them around confidence that a novel offensive organization was needed to exploit their many talents. Vegas is placing something of a trap on this spread inward hopes to gain favor toward the Bears knowing that Rodgers tin can compete alongside virtually anyone on Sunday’s. The Packers were victorious early on this flavor against the Bears equally they were exactly getting their feet wet. Some may believe that the Bears volition overstep away along to wing high behind this shutdown defense, but nosotros can’t envision Aaron going downward without a fight.
CHI doesn’t embrace the spread @ -6 GB 17 CHI 24 (L)
Detroit @ Buffalo (Favorite)
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
Seeing the Bills drib around other winnable competition final calendar week to the Jets entirely proves that closing out games is 1 of their largest issues. With Josh Allen dorsum on the field, the Bills receive got enjoyed greater success these final few weeks alongside improve offensive production inward the process. One statistic that is rather impressive in addition to rarely spoken of is that the Bills concur the best defense forcefulness inward the NFL inward damage of total defense forcefulness in addition to passing defense. The crime has been belongings this squad dorsum this flavor but seemingly could hold upwards turning a corner. The Lions come upwards into Buffalo essentially inward a lost flavor looking to create anything to bear over to side yesteryear side year. Playing inward front end of the Bills dwelling crowd alongside no existent resemblance of a run laid on (without Kerryon Johnson), Buffalo should hold upwards able to receive got success this calendar week taking them over the top. We’ll stick alongside Bills-Mafia inward calendar week 15.
BUF covers the spread @ -2.5 DET thirteen BUF xiv (L)
Tampa Bay @ Baltimore (Favorite)
Westgate -8
Caesar’s -8
William Hill -8
Wynn -8
Unibet -8
SportSelect -7.5
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers receive got given their best efforts this flavor e'er finding ways to compete but ultimately letting their guard down. This calendar week they accept go to Baltimore to human face upwards off against the Ravens who are built on the old schoolhouse create of boom oral cavity running in addition to great defensive play. Lamar Jackson is anything from a polished production but shows his playmaking powerfulness every fourth dimension he touches the ball. While this spread gives us pause, playing inward Baltimore should exercise the flim-flam for the Ravens to win alongside to a greater extent than than a touchdown. Our grave trouble concern is that garbage fourth dimension points could elevator Tampa to kill Baltimore’s shot at roofing the spread, but nosotros can’t motion away from how company this defense forcefulness is. Jameis should receive got at to the lowest degree 1 interception inward this one.
BAL covers the spread @ -8 TB 12 BAL twenty (W)
Arizona @ Atlanta
Westgate -7.5
Caesar’s -8.5
William Hill N/A
Wynn N/A
Unibet N/A
SportSelect -8.5
The Atlanta Falcons are perchance the most underachieving guild we’ve seen inward recent retention given the amount of talent employed on the books. Playing at dwelling has e'er been the best for Matt Ryan equally the controlled surround allows them to play fast. The Arizona Cardinals apparently alternative in addition to direct when they desire to play football game providing no insight week-to-week. Beating the Packers at Lambo-Field entirely to render dwelling laying a goose egg for the dwelling town crowd the next calendar week to the Lions, leaves us baffled. Vegas evidently is conceding to final week’s functioning inward the desert suggesting Arizona won’t come upwards to play this week. With all statistical evaluation in addition to logical though aside, nosotros know which means this should go, but remain terrified to endorse alongside great enthusiasm.
ATL covers the spread @ -7.5 ARZ xiv ATL xl (W)
Oakland @ Cincinnati (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill -3
Wynn -3
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -3.5
Gearing upwards for 1 of the most meaningless contests on the weekend slate, nosotros run across the Raiders go to Cincinnati to human face upwards the Bengals. Both clubs are inward evaluation trend for side yesteryear side flavor inward hopes to create upwards one's remove heed what feasible players they tin can exploit farther inward 2019. Derek Carr in addition to the Raiders receive got played fairly decent football game these final couplet weeks alongside the topper of upsetting the Pittsburgh Steelers a calendar week ago. The Bengals showed signs of life poesy the Chargers utilizing the run game to their payoff giving Joe Mixon a whopping 31 touches on the afternoon. With no AJ Green on the field, nosotros should run across similar usage for Mixon inward this match. Adding to that, teams traveling from West to East never come upwards out favorably. Going to whorl alongside the dwelling squad here.
CIN covers the spread @ -2.5 OAK xvi CIN xxx (W)
Tennessee @ NY Giants (Favorite)
Westgate -2.5
Caesar’s -2.5
William Hill -2.5
Wynn -2.5
Unibet -2.5
SportSelect -2.5
This competition correct from outflow has us going dorsum in addition to forth patch trying to sympathise the logic of Vegas giving the Giants nearly 3 points. On the exterior looking in, this feels similar direct bait equally the odds makers are trying to generate coin for the Giants who are coming off a blowout victory against the Redskins. Playing Mark Sanchez in addition to Marcus Mariota are completely 2 dissimilar animals in addition to nosotros struggle to run across the logic exterior of this beingness a dwelling game inward New York. As nosotros dug deeper, it became clearer that the Titans issues reign supreme on the route equally they concur a tape of 2-5 playing exterior their ain house. One encouraging sign for the Titans was the absolute dominating running functioning of Derrick Henry final calendar week which could hold upwards something Tennessee would similar to exploit 1 time again. Given that the Jaguars receive got packed it inward in addition to left fiddling resistance, nosotros don’t lay a great bargain of idea inward that beingness the normality. Saquon Barkley has been an absolute machine helping the Giants gain respectability equally the flavor wears on. This game could learn either way, but we’ll side alongside Barkley in addition to the Big-Blue.
NYG covers the spread @ -2.5 TEN 17 NYG 0 (L)
Miami @ Minnesota (Favorite)
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -7
William Hill -7
Wynn -7
Unibet -7
SportSelect -6.5
In a flavor where expectations were at an all-time high for the Vikings after signing Kirk Cousins to that monster deal, the consequence has been less than desirable. Minnesota is coming off a game where they couldn’t muster anything against the Seahawks ultimately getting their offensive coordinator fired. The Dolphins on the other mitt are coming off a competition that is beingness pegged equally the miracle inward Miami, after seeing Kenyon Drake gallop into the endzone after catching a lateral from his teammate. Miami is a rattling confusing guild when betting is involved. Some weeks they tin can hold upwards seen equally competitive patch others demo lack of effort. The biggest wrench inward this spread is the uncertainty of what the Vikings volition exercise on crime alongside a novel play caller. New schemes could allow Minnesota to hold upwards to a greater extent than creative sheltering their game celluloid from the Miami defense, or it could learn sideways to hold upwards much of the same team. Either way, Miami should hold upwards able to at to the lowest degree compete inward this 1 keeping the game closer than 7 points.
MIN doesn’t embrace the spread @ -7 MIA 17 MIN 41 (L)
Washington @ Jacksonville (Favorite)
Westgate -7
Caesar’s -7
William Hill -7
Wynn -7
Unibet -7
SportSelect -7.5
The Mark Sanchez fill-in experiment went equally expected, directly giving the starting purpose to journeymen Josh Johnson inward hopes to create anything productive. The Redskins flavor is all but lost equally they 1 time to a greater extent than experience victim to huge injuries to the displeasure of the fan base. The Jaguars are a squad that grossly underachieved patch seeing a defense forcefulness unwilling to perform at elite levels exactly because their crime wasn’t able to describe their weight. This game looks to hold upwards a snooze fest, but the Jags should hold upwards able to dominate an opponent alongside fiddling endeavor extracted.
JAX covers the spread @ -7 WAS xvi JAX thirteen (L)
Dallas @ Indianapolis (Favorite)
Westgate -3
Caesar’s -3
William Hill N/A
Wynn N/A
Unibet N/A
SportSelect -2.5
The Dallas Cowboys overstep away along to whorl equally they seem to receive got a number of things figured out at the correct fourth dimension of the season. Winners of their final 5 in addition to taking a strangle concur on the NFC East, Dak Prescott in addition to fellowship human face to walk into Indianapolis in addition to walk out alongside a victory. The Colts receive got played improve than most predicted this flavor but volition receive got a giant examination on their hands when the Dallas Cowboys come upwards to town. This spread is rattling interesting to us equally nosotros observe it shocking that Vegas has provided confidence inward the Colts. While nosotros sympathise playing on the route doesn’t bode good for Dallas to dominate, but Andrew Luck hasn’t faced a defense forcefulness similar this inward quite around time. Dallas is gaining steam in addition to is looking similar a well-oiled machine. We can’t run across whatever scenario where Dallas doesn’t learn their 6th direct victory.
IND doesn’t embrace the spread @ -3 DAL 0 IND 23 (L)
Seattle (Favorite) @ San Francisco
Westgate -5
Caesar’s -5
William Hill -5
Wynn -5
Unibet -4.5
SportSelect -5.5
Russell Wilson in addition to the Seahawks exactly overstep away along to pile upwards the victories no affair who the opponent seems to be. Facing off against the 49ers inward calendar week 15, a squad they obliterated exactly a couplet weeks ago, nosotros should run across a similar consequence when all is said in addition to done. The Hawks template is vastly comparable to that of the Ravens where the run game is the primary source on crime patch their defense forcefulness has played extremely well. I dubiousness nosotros volition run across a trashing on the scoreboard similar nosotros witnessed inward Seattle, but inward our minds, in that location isn’t anything credible to advise a rattling unopen contest. Even equally the 49ers shocked the Broncos final calendar week inward front end of the dwelling town faithful, Seattle is far besides talented to allow that to happen.
SEA covers the spread @ -5 SEA 23 SF 26 (L)
New England (Favorite) @ Pittsburgh
Westgate -1.5
Caesar’s -1.5
William Hill -1.5
Wynn -1.5
Unibet -1.5
SportSelect N/A
As nosotros mentioned final week, the Patriots receive got been our kryptonite inward damage of trying to predict an consequence poesy the spread. Something close this guild this flavor that reeks of inconsistency overall, was fully exposed yesteryear Miami a calendar week agone inward a losing effort. Taking go to Pittsburgh this calendar week to human face upwards a guild that dropped a for certain win to the Raiders, both teams volition hold upwards looking for redemption. While the Pats loss came at the hands of coaching, the Steelers lacked great execution for lx minutes patch giving upwards a final 2nd touchdown to their foe. Big Ben is limping into this competition alongside a rib injury that could pose to hold upwards an issue, but we’ve seen him play alongside far worse in addition to notwithstanding hold upwards productive. Tom Brady had perchance his best game of the flavor final calendar week in addition to volition human face to create on that at Heinz Field. This game could literally learn either way, but when was the final fourth dimension the Patriots lost 2 inward a row? Got to whorl alongside New England inward this 1 on the road.
NE covers the spread @ -1.5 NE 10 PIT 17 (L)
Philadelphia @ LA Rams (Favorite)
Westgate -9.5
Caesar’s -9
William Hill -9
Wynn -9.5
Unibet -9.5
SportSelect -8.5
Sunday Night Football gives us what should’ve been a beauty of a contest, directly looking to a greater extent than similar a snoozer. With recent tidings reports coming out that Carson Wentz volition hold upwards out for this one, alongside the potential to immature lady the residue of the season, the Rams exactly got the upper mitt on the quondam Super Bowl champions. Coach McVay volition undoubtedly hold upwards spending extra hours inward the celluloid room patch creating to a greater extent than explosive plays inward hopes to learn them dorsum on track. Playing inward front end of the dwelling crowd is usually a welcomed sight where Jared Goff should experience rattling comfortable. While ix points seems to hold upwards a fiddling high for us to endorse, nosotros can’t run across Nick Foles recreating that magic from a twelvemonth ago. LA should walk over the injured Eagles alongside ease.
LAR covers the spread @ -9 PHI xxx LAR 23 (L)
Monday Dec.10.2018
New Orleans (Favorite) @ Carolina
Westgate -6
Caesar’s -6
William Hill -6
Wynn -6
Unibet -6.5
SportSelect -6.5
Monday Night Football has a neat on tap equally Drew Brees in addition to the Saints go to Carolina to human face upwards off against the struggling Panthers. Starting the flavor it appeared the Panthers would challenge the Saints for the partitioning crown entirely to receive got lost traction losing a whopping 5 games inward a row. With their flavor on life support, Cam Newton volition receive got to generate his absolute best if they receive got whatever shot at making the playoffs. Speaking of struggles, the Saints themselves receive got endured a pullback of sorts offensively non showing that same dominating execution we’ve grown accustomed to this season. It almost appears that the Cowboys gave the pattern inward how to stifle this high-octane unit of measurement alongside system in addition to misdirection. While nosotros experience that charabanc Payton volition receive got his troops laid upwards to purpose inward primetime, the Panthers should render quite the fight. With that said, nosotros receive got fiddling to no confidence that the Carolina defense forcefulness volition hold upwards able to hang alongside this crime for the entire contest. Carolina volition run across their flavor ended on Monday.
NO covers the spread @ -6 NO 12 CAR nine (L)
Week xv Record: 5-11 (.313)
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